Mathare MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Nairobi County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Oluoch Anthony Tom (Orange Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 28,260 (—) |
| Registered voters | 114,492 |
| Votes cast | 62,230 |
| Turnout | 54.4% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 54.4%: 62,226
- Votes to win: 31,114
- Safer target (55.0%): 34,225
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Mathare MP seat in 2022?
Oluoch Anthony Tom (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 28,260 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Mathare MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 54.4%, about 62,226 votes will be cast. More than half is 31,114 votes; a safer target is 34,225. This is not a forecast.