Embakasi South MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Nairobi County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Mawathe Julius Musili (Wiper Democratic Movement–Kenya) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 38,712 (—) |
| Registered voters | 146,653 |
| Votes cast | 72,009 |
| Turnout | 49.1% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 49.1%: 72,007
- Votes to win: 36,004
- Safer target (55.0%): 39,604
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Embakasi South MP seat in 2022?
Mawathe Julius Musili (Wiper Democratic Movement–Kenya) won with 38,712 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Embakasi South MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 49.1%, about 72,007 votes will be cast. More than half is 36,004 votes; a safer target is 39,604. This is not a forecast.