Dagoretti South MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Nairobi County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Waweru John Kiarie (United Democratic Alliance) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 26,394 (—) |
| Registered voters | 114,930 |
| Votes cast | 67,625 |
| Turnout | 58.8% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 58.8%: 67,625
- Votes to win: 33,813
- Safer target (55.0%): 37,194
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
Test your strongholds in Dagoretti South MP: mark the areas that support you, the swing areas and your opponent’s, and see how many votes that gives you. Free.
Start a free campaign analysis for Dagoretti South MP: the field organisation, polling agents, logistics and illustrative budget this seat could need.
Other seats in this county
Wards (MCA seats)
Questions
Who won the Dagoretti South MP seat in 2022?
Waweru John Kiarie (United Democratic Alliance) won with 26,394 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Dagoretti South MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 58.8%, about 67,625 votes will be cast. More than half is 33,813 votes; a safer target is 37,194. This is not a forecast.