Nairobi Governor: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Governor seat, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Johnson Sakaja (UDA) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 699,392 (54.9%) |
| Runner-up | Polycarp Igathe: 573,516 (45.1%) |
| Winning margin | 125,876 votes (9.9%) |
| Registered voters | 2,357,465 |
| Votes cast | 1,308,987 |
| Turnout | 55.5% |
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 55.5%: 1,309,100
- Votes to win: 719,220
- Safer target (59.9%): 784,675
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Other seats in this county
MP seats
- Dagoretti North
- Dagoretti South
- Embakasi Central
- Embakasi East
- Embakasi North
- Embakasi South
- Embakasi West
- Kamukunji
- Kasarani
- Kibra
- Langata
- Makadara
- Mathare
- Roysambu
- Ruaraka
- Starehe
- Westlands
Questions
Who won the Nairobi Governor seat in 2022?
Johnson Sakaja (UDA) won with 699,392 votes (54.9%).
How many votes does it take to win Nairobi Governor in 2027?
If turnout repeats 55.5%, about 1,309,100 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 54.9% share means about 719,220 votes; a safer target is 784,675. This is not a forecast.