Kibra MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Nairobi County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Orero Peter Ochieng (Orange Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 33,127 (—) |
| Registered voters | 128,282 |
| Votes cast | 74,990 |
| Turnout | 58.5% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 58.5%: 74,994
- Votes to win: 37,498
- Safer target (55.0%): 41,247
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
Test your strongholds in Kibra MP: mark the areas that support you, the swing areas and your opponent’s, and see how many votes that gives you. Free.
Start a free campaign analysis for Kibra MP: the field organisation, polling agents, logistics and illustrative budget this seat could need.
Other seats in this county
Wards (MCA seats)
Questions
Who won the Kibra MP seat in 2022?
Orero Peter Ochieng (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 33,127 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Kibra MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 58.5%, about 74,994 votes will be cast. More than half is 37,498 votes; a safer target is 41,247. This is not a forecast.