Kasarani MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Nairobi County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Karauri Ronald Kamwiko (Independent) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 32,406 (—) |
| Registered voters | 155,250 |
| Votes cast | 91,018 |
| Turnout | 58.6% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 58.6%: 91,023
- Votes to win: 45,512
- Safer target (55.0%): 50,063
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Kasarani MP seat in 2022?
Karauri Ronald Kamwiko (Independent) won with 32,406 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Kasarani MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 58.6%, about 91,023 votes will be cast. More than half is 45,512 votes; a safer target is 50,063. This is not a forecast.