Mandera West MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Mandera County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Yussuf Adan Haji (United Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 8,530 (—) |
| Registered voters | 37,637 |
| Votes cast | 25,912 |
| Turnout | 68.8% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 68.8%: 25,913
- Votes to win: 12,957
- Safer target (55.0%): 14,253
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Mandera West MP seat in 2022?
Yussuf Adan Haji (United Democratic Movement) won with 8,530 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Mandera West MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 68.8%, about 25,913 votes will be cast. More than half is 12,957 votes; a safer target is 14,253. This is not a forecast.