Mandera North MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Mandera County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Abdullahi Bashir Sheikh (United Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 9,214 (—) |
| Registered voters | 45,216 |
| Votes cast | 23,616 |
| Turnout | 52.2% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 52.2%: 23,616
- Votes to win: 11,809
- Safer target (55.0%): 12,989
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Mandera North MP seat in 2022?
Abdullahi Bashir Sheikh (United Democratic Movement) won with 9,214 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Mandera North MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 52.2%, about 23,616 votes will be cast. More than half is 11,809 votes; a safer target is 12,989. This is not a forecast.