Lafey MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Mandera County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Abdirahman Mohamed Abdi (Jubilee Party) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 8,061 (—) |
| Registered voters | 18,564 |
| Votes cast | 12,243 |
| Turnout | 66.0% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 66.0%: 12,243
- Votes to win: 6,122
- Safer target (55.0%): 6,734
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Lafey MP seat in 2022?
Abdirahman Mohamed Abdi (Jubilee Party) won with 8,061 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Lafey MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 66.0%, about 12,243 votes will be cast. More than half is 6,122 votes; a safer target is 6,734. This is not a forecast.