Mandera Governor: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Governor seat, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Adan Khalif (UDM) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 53,480 (56.3%) |
| Runner-up | Aden Mohamed: 40,564 (42.7%) |
| Winning margin | 12,916 votes (13.6%) |
| Registered voters | 216,808 |
| Votes cast | 135,385 |
| Turnout | 62.4% |
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 62.4%: 135,375
- Votes to win: 76,190
- Safer target (61.3%): 82,958
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Mandera Governor seat in 2022?
Adan Khalif (UDM) won with 53,480 votes (56.3%).
How many votes does it take to win Mandera Governor in 2027?
If turnout repeats 62.4%, about 135,375 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 56.3% share means about 76,190 votes; a safer target is 82,958. This is not a forecast.