Mvita MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Mombasa County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Machele Mohamed Soud (Orange Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 22,611 (—) |
| Registered voters | 111,848 |
| Votes cast | 44,452 |
| Turnout | 39.7% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 39.7%: 44,448
- Votes to win: 22,225
- Safer target (55.0%): 24,447
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Mvita MP seat in 2022?
Machele Mohamed Soud (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 22,611 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Mvita MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 39.7%, about 44,448 votes will be cast. More than half is 22,225 votes; a safer target is 24,447. This is not a forecast.