Mombasa Governor: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Governor seat, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Abdulswamad Nassir (ODM) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 119,083 (54.1%) |
| Runner-up | Hassan Omar: 98,105 (44.6%) |
| Winning margin | 20,978 votes (9.5%) |
| Registered voters | 623,239 |
| Votes cast | 268,905 |
| Turnout | 43.1% |
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 43.1%: 268,928
- Votes to win: 145,464
- Safer target (59.1%): 158,910
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Mombasa Governor seat in 2022?
Abdulswamad Nassir (ODM) won with 119,083 votes (54.1%).
How many votes does it take to win Mombasa Governor in 2027?
If turnout repeats 43.1%, about 268,928 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 54.1% share means about 145,464 votes; a safer target is 158,910. This is not a forecast.