Changamwe MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Mombasa County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Shimbwa Omar Mwinyi (Orange Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 25,077 (—) |
| Registered voters | 93,561 |
| Votes cast | 43,594 |
| Turnout | 46.6% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 46.6%: 43,590
- Votes to win: 21,796
- Safer target (55.0%): 23,975
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Changamwe MP seat in 2022?
Shimbwa Omar Mwinyi (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 25,077 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Changamwe MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 46.6%, about 43,590 votes will be cast. More than half is 21,796 votes; a safer target is 23,975. This is not a forecast.