Shimanzi/Ganjoni Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027

Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Mombasa County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.

2022 result

WinnerMumba Prischilla Mema Orange Democratic (Orange Democratic Movement)
Winning votes3,644 (—)
Registered voters18,556
Votes cast8,392
Turnout45.2%

Partial results: the source is missing some polling streams or minor candidates, so totals and shares may differ slightly from the official IEBC tally. View source

Votes to win in 2027

This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.

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Questions

Who won the Shimanzi/Ganjoni Ward MCA seat in 2022?

Mumba Prischilla Mema Orange Democratic (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 3,644 votes.

How many votes does it take to win Shimanzi/Ganjoni Ward MCA in 2027?

If turnout repeats 45.2%, about 8,393 votes will be cast. More than half is 4,197 votes; a safer target is 4,617. This is not a forecast.

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