Subukia MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Nakuru County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Gachobe Samuel Kinuthia (United Democratic Alliance) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 27,843 (—) |
| Registered voters | 55,599 |
| Votes cast | 38,323 |
| Turnout | 68.9% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 68.9%: 38,324
- Votes to win: 19,163
- Safer target (55.0%): 21,079
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Subukia MP seat in 2022?
Gachobe Samuel Kinuthia (United Democratic Alliance) won with 27,843 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Subukia MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 68.9%, about 38,324 votes will be cast. More than half is 19,163 votes; a safer target is 21,079. This is not a forecast.