Nakuru Town West MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Nakuru County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Arama Samwel (Jubilee Party) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 34,904 (—) |
| Registered voters | 112,127 |
| Votes cast | 69,982 |
| Turnout | 62.4% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 62.4%: 69,978
- Votes to win: 34,990
- Safer target (55.0%): 38,488
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Nakuru Town West MP seat in 2022?
Arama Samwel (Jubilee Party) won with 34,904 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Nakuru Town West MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 62.4%, about 69,978 votes will be cast. More than half is 34,990 votes; a safer target is 38,488. This is not a forecast.