Rongai MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Nakuru County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Chebor Paul Kibet (United Democratic Alliance) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 27,021 (—) |
| Registered voters | 83,142 |
| Votes cast | 56,021 |
| Turnout | 67.4% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 67.4%: 56,021
- Votes to win: 28,011
- Safer target (55.0%): 30,812
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Rongai MP seat in 2022?
Chebor Paul Kibet (United Democratic Alliance) won with 27,021 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Rongai MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 67.4%, about 56,021 votes will be cast. More than half is 28,011 votes; a safer target is 30,812. This is not a forecast.