Mwala MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Machakos County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Musau Vincent Musyoka (United Democratic Alliance) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 35,578 (—) |
| Registered voters | 88,901 |
| Votes cast | 55,499 |
| Turnout | 62.4% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 62.4%: 55,501
- Votes to win: 27,751
- Safer target (55.0%): 30,526
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Mwala MP seat in 2022?
Musau Vincent Musyoka (United Democratic Alliance) won with 35,578 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Mwala MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 62.4%, about 55,501 votes will be cast. More than half is 27,751 votes; a safer target is 30,526. This is not a forecast.