Kathiani MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Machakos County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Mbui Robert (Wiper Democratic Movement–Kenya) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 30,605 (—) |
| Registered voters | 60,224 |
| Votes cast | 37,999 |
| Turnout | 63.1% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 63.1%: 38,001
- Votes to win: 19,001
- Safer target (55.0%): 20,901
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Kathiani MP seat in 2022?
Mbui Robert (Wiper Democratic Movement–Kenya) won with 30,605 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Kathiani MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 63.1%, about 38,001 votes will be cast. More than half is 19,001 votes; a safer target is 20,901. This is not a forecast.