Masinga MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Machakos County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Mwalyo Joshua Mbithi Mutua (Independent) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 11,354 (—) |
| Registered voters | 68,879 |
| Votes cast | 43,362 |
| Turnout | 63.0% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 63.0%: 43,359
- Votes to win: 21,680
- Safer target (55.0%): 23,848
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Masinga MP seat in 2022?
Mwalyo Joshua Mbithi Mutua (Independent) won with 11,354 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Masinga MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 63.0%, about 43,359 votes will be cast. More than half is 21,680 votes; a safer target is 23,848. This is not a forecast.