Wargadud Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Mandera County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Muktar Bishar Sheikh United Party for (UPIA) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 1,711 (—) |
| Registered voters | 7,341 |
| Votes cast | 5,292 |
| Turnout | 72.1% |
Partial results: the source is missing some polling streams or minor candidates, so totals and shares may differ slightly from the official IEBC tally. View source
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 72.1%: 5,292
- Votes to win: 2,647
- Safer target (55.0%): 2,911
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Wargadud Ward MCA seat in 2022?
Muktar Bishar Sheikh United Party for (UPIA) won with 1,711 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Wargadud Ward MCA in 2027?
If turnout repeats 72.1%, about 5,292 votes will be cast. More than half is 2,647 votes; a safer target is 2,911. This is not a forecast.