Kasemeni Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027

Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Kwale County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.

2022 result

WinnerSafari Victor Nyanje Orange Democratic (Orange Democratic Movement)
Winning votes2,883 (—)
Registered voters14,445
Votes cast7,729
Turnout53.5%

Partial results: the source is missing some polling streams or minor candidates, so totals and shares may differ slightly from the official IEBC tally. View source

Votes to win in 2027

This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.

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Questions

Who won the Kasemeni Ward MCA seat in 2022?

Safari Victor Nyanje Orange Democratic (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 2,883 votes.

How many votes does it take to win Kasemeni Ward MCA in 2027?

If turnout repeats 53.5%, about 7,730 votes will be cast. More than half is 3,866 votes; a safer target is 4,252. This is not a forecast.

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