Kwale Senator: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Senator seat in Kwale County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Boy (ODM) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 52,772 (—) |
| Registered voters | 328,052 |
| Votes cast | 178,999 |
| Turnout | 54.6% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 54.6%: 178,985
- Votes to win: 89,493
- Safer target (55.0%): 98,442
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
Test your strongholds in Kwale Senator: mark the areas that support you, the swing areas and your opponent’s, and see how many votes that gives you. Free.
Start a free campaign analysis for Kwale Senator: the field organisation, polling agents, logistics and illustrative budget this seat could need.
Other seats in this county
MP seats
Questions
Who won the Kwale Senator seat in 2022?
Boy (ODM) won with 52,772 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Kwale Senator in 2027?
If turnout repeats 54.6%, about 178,985 votes will be cast. More than half is 89,493 votes; a safer target is 98,442. This is not a forecast.