Kwale Governor: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Governor seat, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Fatuma Achani (UDA) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 59,674 (33.4%) |
| Runner-up | Hamadi Boga: 53,972 (30.2%) |
| Winning margin | 5,702 votes (3.2%) |
| Registered voters | 328,052 |
| Votes cast | 178,999 |
| Turnout | 54.6% |
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 54.6%: 178,985
- Votes to win: 59,746
- Safer target (38.4%): 68,695
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
Test your strongholds in Kwale Governor: mark the areas that support you, the swing areas and your opponent’s, and see how many votes that gives you. Free.
Start a free campaign analysis for Kwale Governor: the field organisation, polling agents, logistics and illustrative budget this seat could need.
Other seats in this county
MP seats
Questions
Who won the Kwale Governor seat in 2022?
Fatuma Achani (UDA) won with 59,674 votes (33.4%).
How many votes does it take to win Kwale Governor in 2027?
If turnout repeats 54.6%, about 178,985 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 33.4% share means about 59,746 votes; a safer target is 68,695. This is not a forecast.