Dertu Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027

Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Garissa County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.

2022 result

WinnerOdowa Aden Hassan United Party of (United Party Of Independent Alliance)
Winning votes1,343 (60.3%)
Runner-upOsman Hussein Abdi: 875 (39.3%)
Winning margin468 votes (21.0%)
Registered voters3,744
Votes cast2,228
Turnout59.5%

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Votes to win in 2027

This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.

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Questions

Who won the Dertu Ward MCA seat in 2022?

Odowa Aden Hassan United Party of (United Party Of Independent Alliance) won with 1,343 votes (60.3%).

How many votes does it take to win Dertu Ward MCA in 2027?

If turnout repeats 59.5%, about 2,228 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 60.3% share means about 1,345 votes; a safer target is 1,456. This is not a forecast.

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