Garissa Governor: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Governor seat, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Nathif Jama (ODM) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 26,342 (39.4%) |
| Runner-up | Ali Korane: 26,148 (39.1%) |
| Winning margin | 194 votes (0.3%) |
| Registered voters | 201,129 |
| Votes cast | 109,742 |
| Turnout | 54.6% |
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 54.6%: 109,736
- Votes to win: 43,204
- Safer target (44.4%): 48,690
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Garissa Governor seat in 2022?
Nathif Jama (ODM) won with 26,342 votes (39.4%).
How many votes does it take to win Garissa Governor in 2027?
If turnout repeats 54.6%, about 109,736 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 39.4% share means about 43,204 votes; a safer target is 48,690. This is not a forecast.