Ijara MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Garissa County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Abdi Abdi Ali (National Agenda Party of Kenya) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 7,619 (—) |
| Registered voters | 29,407 |
| Votes cast | 19,436 |
| Turnout | 66.1% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 66.1%: 19,435
- Votes to win: 9,718
- Safer target (55.0%): 10,690
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Ijara MP seat in 2022?
Abdi Abdi Ali (National Agenda Party of Kenya) won with 7,619 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Ijara MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 66.1%, about 19,435 votes will be cast. More than half is 9,718 votes; a safer target is 10,690. This is not a forecast.