Abakaile Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027

Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Garissa County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.

2022 result

WinnerDahiye Hajir Mohamed United Party of (UPIA)
Winning votes3,148 (—)
Registered voters9,331
Votes cast5,397
Turnout57.8%

Partial results: the source is missing some polling streams or minor candidates, so totals and shares may differ slightly from the official IEBC tally. View source

Votes to win in 2027

This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.

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Questions

Who won the Abakaile Ward MCA seat in 2022?

Dahiye Hajir Mohamed United Party of (UPIA) won with 3,148 votes.

How many votes does it take to win Abakaile Ward MCA in 2027?

If turnout repeats 57.8%, about 5,397 votes will be cast. More than half is 2,699 votes; a safer target is 2,969. This is not a forecast.

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