Saboti MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Trans Nzoia County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Luyai Caleb Amisi (Orange Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 25,469 (—) |
| Registered voters | 87,384 |
| Votes cast | 53,787 |
| Turnout | 61.5% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 61.5%: 53,785
- Votes to win: 26,893
- Safer target (55.0%): 29,582
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Saboti MP seat in 2022?
Luyai Caleb Amisi (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 25,469 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Saboti MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 61.5%, about 53,785 votes will be cast. More than half is 26,893 votes; a safer target is 29,582. This is not a forecast.