Trans Nzoia Governor: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Governor seat, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | George Natembeya (DAP-K) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 158,919 (65.3%) |
| Runner-up | Chris Wamalwa: 79,020 (32.5%) |
| Winning margin | 79,899 votes (32.8%) |
| Registered voters | 398,013 |
| Votes cast | 249,736 |
| Turnout | 62.8% |
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 62.8%: 249,753
- Votes to win: 163,164
- Safer target (70.3%): 175,652
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Trans Nzoia Governor seat in 2022?
George Natembeya (DAP-K) won with 158,919 votes (65.3%).
How many votes does it take to win Trans Nzoia Governor in 2027?
If turnout repeats 62.8%, about 249,753 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 65.3% share means about 163,164 votes; a safer target is 175,652. This is not a forecast.