Rarieda MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Siaya County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Amollo Paul Otiende (Orange Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 37,676 (—) |
| Registered voters | 84,849 |
| Votes cast | 61,864 |
| Turnout | 72.9% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 72.9%: 61,863
- Votes to win: 30,932
- Safer target (55.0%): 34,025
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Rarieda MP seat in 2022?
Amollo Paul Otiende (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 37,676 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Rarieda MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 72.9%, about 61,863 votes will be cast. More than half is 30,932 votes; a safer target is 34,025. This is not a forecast.