Siaya Governor: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Governor seat, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | James Orengo (ODM) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 220,349 (59.0%) |
| Runner-up | Nicholas Gumbo: 147,558 (39.5%) |
| Winning margin | 72,791 votes (19.5%) |
| Registered voters | 533,409 |
| Votes cast | 376,189 |
| Turnout | 70.5% |
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 70.5%: 376,213
- Votes to win: 221,853
- Safer target (64.0%): 240,664
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Siaya Governor seat in 2022?
James Orengo (ODM) won with 220,349 votes (59.0%).
How many votes does it take to win Siaya Governor in 2027?
If turnout repeats 70.5%, about 376,213 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 59.0% share means about 221,853 votes; a safer target is 240,664. This is not a forecast.