Garsen MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Tana River County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Guyo Ali Wario (Orange Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 13,664 (—) |
| Registered voters | 55,453 |
| Votes cast | 35,244 |
| Turnout | 63.6% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 63.6%: 35,246
- Votes to win: 17,624
- Safer target (55.0%): 19,386
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Garsen MP seat in 2022?
Guyo Ali Wario (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 13,664 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Garsen MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 63.6%, about 35,246 votes will be cast. More than half is 17,624 votes; a safer target is 19,386. This is not a forecast.