Galole MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Tana River County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Hiribae Said Buya (Orange Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 15,107 (—) |
| Registered voters | 39,525 |
| Votes cast | 28,285 |
| Turnout | 71.6% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 71.6%: 28,284
- Votes to win: 14,143
- Safer target (55.0%): 15,557
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Galole MP seat in 2022?
Hiribae Said Buya (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 15,107 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Galole MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 71.6%, about 28,284 votes will be cast. More than half is 14,143 votes; a safer target is 15,557. This is not a forecast.