Timbwani Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027

Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Mombasa County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.

2022 result

WinnerMbaya Hamisi Salim Orange Democratic (Orange Democratic Movement)
Winning votes4,954 (—)
Registered voters33,929
Votes cast12,584
Turnout37.1%

Partial results: the source is missing some polling streams or minor candidates, so totals and shares may differ slightly from the official IEBC tally. View source

Votes to win in 2027

This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.

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Questions

Who won the Timbwani Ward MCA seat in 2022?

Mbaya Hamisi Salim Orange Democratic (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 4,954 votes.

How many votes does it take to win Timbwani Ward MCA in 2027?

If turnout repeats 37.1%, about 12,584 votes will be cast. More than half is 6,293 votes; a safer target is 6,922. This is not a forecast.

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