Saka Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Garissa County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Abdullahi Abdiweli Aden (Jubilee Party) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 832 (26.9%) |
| Runner-up | Hussein Farah Matan: 752 (24.4%) |
| Winning margin | 80 votes (2.6%) |
| Registered voters | 5,413 |
| Votes cast | 3,075 |
| Turnout | 56.8% |
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 56.8%: 3,075
- Votes to win: 829
- Safer target (31.9%): 983
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Saka Ward MCA seat in 2022?
Abdullahi Abdiweli Aden (Jubilee Party) won with 832 votes (26.9%).
How many votes does it take to win Saka Ward MCA in 2027?
If turnout repeats 56.8%, about 3,075 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 26.9% share means about 829 votes; a safer target is 983. This is not a forecast.