Nairobi Central Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027

Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Nairobi County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.

2022 result

WinnerKwenya John Mwaniki United Democratic (United Democratic Alliance)
Winning votes14,625 (—)
Registered voters42,116
Votes cast22,419
Turnout53.2%

Partial results: the source is missing some polling streams or minor candidates, so totals and shares may differ slightly from the official IEBC tally. View source

Votes to win in 2027

This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.

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Questions

Who won the Nairobi Central Ward MCA seat in 2022?

Kwenya John Mwaniki United Democratic (United Democratic Alliance) won with 14,625 votes.

How many votes does it take to win Nairobi Central Ward MCA in 2027?

If turnout repeats 53.2%, about 22,418 votes will be cast. More than half is 11,210 votes; a safer target is 12,330. This is not a forecast.

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