Mtopanga Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Mombasa County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Matsaki Morgan Ndapatani United Democratic (United Democratic Alliance) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 2,478 (—) |
| Registered voters | 17,254 |
| Votes cast | 7,559 |
| Turnout | 43.8% |
Partial results: the source is missing some polling streams or minor candidates, so totals and shares may differ slightly from the official IEBC tally. View source
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 43.8%: 7,559
- Votes to win: 3,780
- Safer target (55.0%): 4,158
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
Test your strongholds in Mtopanga Ward MCA: mark the areas that support you, the swing areas and your opponent’s, and see how many votes that gives you. Free.
Start a free campaign analysis for Mtopanga Ward MCA: the field organisation, polling agents, logistics and illustrative budget this seat could need.
Other seats in this county
Other wards in this constituency
Questions
Who won the Mtopanga Ward MCA seat in 2022?
Matsaki Morgan Ndapatani United Democratic (United Democratic Alliance) won with 2,478 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Mtopanga Ward MCA in 2027?
If turnout repeats 43.8%, about 7,559 votes will be cast. More than half is 3,780 votes; a safer target is 4,158. This is not a forecast.