Mnarani Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Kilifi County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Thoya Juma Chengo (Independent) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 2,427 (—) |
| Registered voters | 18,076 |
| Votes cast | 8,234 |
| Turnout | 45.5% |
Partial results: the source is missing some polling streams or minor candidates, so totals and shares may differ slightly from the official IEBC tally. View source
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 45.5%: 8,234
- Votes to win: 4,118
- Safer target (55.0%): 4,529
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Mnarani Ward MCA seat in 2022?
Thoya Juma Chengo (Independent) won with 2,427 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Mnarani Ward MCA in 2027?
If turnout repeats 45.5%, about 8,234 votes will be cast. More than half is 4,118 votes; a safer target is 4,529. This is not a forecast.