Kilifi Governor: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Governor seat, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Gideon Mung'aro (ODM) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 143,773 (50.7%) |
| Runner-up | Aisha Jumwa: 65,893 (23.2%) |
| Winning margin | 77,880 votes (27.5%) |
| Registered voters | 584,711 |
| Votes cast | 283,710 |
| Turnout | 48.5% |
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 48.5%: 283,702
- Votes to win: 143,809
- Safer target (55.7%): 157,994
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Kilifi Governor seat in 2022?
Gideon Mung'aro (ODM) won with 143,773 votes (50.7%).
How many votes does it take to win Kilifi Governor in 2027?
If turnout repeats 48.5%, about 283,702 votes will be cast. Matching the 2022 winner's 50.7% share means about 143,809 votes; a safer target is 157,994. This is not a forecast.