Matumbei Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027

Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Trans Nzoia County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.

2022 result

WinnerMutai Margaret United Democratic (United Democratic Alliance)
Winning votes4,778 (—)
Registered voters16,153
Votes cast11,152
Turnout69.0%

Partial results: the source is missing some polling streams or minor candidates, so totals and shares may differ slightly from the official IEBC tally. View source

Votes to win in 2027

This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.

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Questions

Who won the Matumbei Ward MCA seat in 2022?

Mutai Margaret United Democratic (United Democratic Alliance) won with 4,778 votes.

How many votes does it take to win Matumbei Ward MCA in 2027?

If turnout repeats 69.0%, about 11,152 votes will be cast. More than half is 5,577 votes; a safer target is 6,134. This is not a forecast.

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