Mathare North Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Nairobi County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Lore Oscar Otieno Orange Democratic (Orange Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 9,635 (—) |
| Registered voters | 29,334 |
| Votes cast | 16,908 |
| Turnout | 57.6% |
Partial results: the source is missing some polling streams or minor candidates, so totals and shares may differ slightly from the official IEBC tally. View source
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 57.6%: 16,908
- Votes to win: 8,455
- Safer target (55.0%): 9,300
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Mathare North Ward MCA seat in 2022?
Lore Oscar Otieno Orange Democratic (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 9,635 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Mathare North Ward MCA in 2027?
If turnout repeats 57.6%, about 16,908 votes will be cast. More than half is 8,455 votes; a safer target is 9,300. This is not a forecast.