Gatina Ward MCA: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027

Past results for the Member of County Assembly seat in Nairobi County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.

2022 result

WinnerSwaka Kennedy Orange Democratic (Orange Democratic Movement)
Winning votes10,632 (—)
Registered voters34,831
Votes cast18,512
Turnout53.1%

Partial results: the source is missing some polling streams or minor candidates, so totals and shares may differ slightly from the official IEBC tally. View source

Votes to win in 2027

This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.

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Questions

Who won the Gatina Ward MCA seat in 2022?

Swaka Kennedy Orange Democratic (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 10,632 votes.

How many votes does it take to win Gatina Ward MCA in 2027?

If turnout repeats 53.1%, about 18,513 votes will be cast. More than half is 9,257 votes; a safer target is 10,183. This is not a forecast.

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