Mark each county, constituency or ward as your stronghold, a swing area or your opponent’s, say how people vote there, and see how many votes that gives you — and the number to beat.

Is the election scenario tool free?

Yes. Building a scenario is free and needs no account. A printable report costs about the price of a coffee.

Where do the numbers come from?

Registered voters and turnout for every area come from the 2022 IEBC results. Your scenario is a calculation from your own assumptions, not a forecast.

Does it work for every seat?

Yes: President, Governor, Senator, Woman Representative, MP and MCA, down to polling centres for MCA.