Kenya Presidential Election: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027

Past results for the President seat, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.

2022 result

WinnerRUTO, William (United Democratic Alliance)
Winning votes7,135,039 (50.5%)
Runner-upODINGA, Raila: 6,895,929 (48.8%)
Winning margin239,110 votes (1.7%)
Registered voters21,957,333
Votes cast14,123,993
Turnout64.3%

Votes to win in 2027

This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.

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Questions

Who won the Kenya Presidential Election seat in 2022?

RUTO, William (United Democratic Alliance) won with 7,135,039 votes (50.5%).

How many votes does it take to win Kenya Presidential Election in 2027?

If turnout repeats 64.3%, about 14,122,957 votes will be cast. More than half is 7,061,479 votes; a safer target is 7,767,627. This is not a forecast.

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