West Mugirango MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Nyamira County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Mogaka Stephen M. (Jubilee Party) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 17,097 (—) |
| Registered voters | 88,199 |
| Votes cast | 56,822 |
| Turnout | 64.4% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 64.4%: 56,818
- Votes to win: 28,410
- Safer target (55.0%): 31,250
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the West Mugirango MP seat in 2022?
Mogaka Stephen M. (Jubilee Party) won with 17,097 votes.
How many votes does it take to win West Mugirango MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 64.4%, about 56,818 votes will be cast. More than half is 28,410 votes; a safer target is 31,250. This is not a forecast.