Vihiga MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Vihiga County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Kagesi Kivai Ernest Ogesi (Amani National Congress) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 13,890 (—) |
| Registered voters | 52,289 |
| Votes cast | 29,879 |
| Turnout | 57.1% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 57.1%: 29,878
- Votes to win: 14,940
- Safer target (55.0%): 16,433
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Vihiga MP seat in 2022?
Kagesi Kivai Ernest Ogesi (Amani National Congress) won with 13,890 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Vihiga MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 57.1%, about 29,878 votes will be cast. More than half is 14,940 votes; a safer target is 16,433. This is not a forecast.