Turkana South MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Turkana County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Namoit John Ariko (Orange Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 12,893 (—) |
| Registered voters | 40,432 |
| Votes cast | 23,660 |
| Turnout | 58.5% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 58.5%: 23,661
- Votes to win: 11,831
- Safer target (55.0%): 13,014
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Turkana South MP seat in 2022?
Namoit John Ariko (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 12,893 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Turkana South MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 58.5%, about 23,661 votes will be cast. More than half is 11,831 votes; a safer target is 13,014. This is not a forecast.