Tongaren MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Bungoma County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | Murumba John Chikati (Forum for Restoration of Democracy–Kenya) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 28,278 (—) |
| Registered voters | 83,989 |
| Votes cast | 50,658 |
| Turnout | 60.3% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 60.3%: 50,662
- Votes to win: 25,332
- Safer target (55.0%): 27,865
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Tongaren MP seat in 2022?
Murumba John Chikati (Forum for Restoration of Democracy–Kenya) won with 28,278 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Tongaren MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 60.3%, about 50,662 votes will be cast. More than half is 25,332 votes; a safer target is 27,865. This is not a forecast.