Suba South MP: 2022 results and votes to win in 2027
Past results for the Member of National Assembly seat in Homa Bay County, and what it would take to win it in the August 2027 general election, based on public IEBC data.
2022 result
| Winner | South Omondi Caroli (Orange Democratic Movement) |
|---|---|
| Winning votes | 25,805 (—) |
| Registered voters | 54,838 |
| Votes cast | 40,988 |
| Turnout | 74.7% |
Our source published the winning result only, so runner-up figures are not shown.
Votes to win in 2027
- Votes likely to be cast if turnout repeats 74.7%: 40,986
- Votes to win: 20,494
- Safer target (55.0%): 22,543
This assumes turnout and the winning share repeat. It is not a forecast.
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Questions
Who won the Suba South MP seat in 2022?
South Omondi Caroli (Orange Democratic Movement) won with 25,805 votes.
How many votes does it take to win Suba South MP in 2027?
If turnout repeats 74.7%, about 40,986 votes will be cast. More than half is 20,494 votes; a safer target is 22,543. This is not a forecast.